Primary finding
Probable cause
The pilot’s inadequate preflight planning, inadequate inflight monitoring of the airplane’s flight parameters, and his failure to regain control of the airplane following entry into an inadvertent aerodynamic stall. The pilot’s likely spatial disorientation following the aerodynamic stall also contributed to the outcome.
Investigator assessment
Analysis narrative
Before departing on the flight, the pilot of the turbo-propeller-equipped, single-engine airplane and student pilot-rated passenger seated in the right front seat of the airplane attempted to enter a flight plan into the airplane’s integrated flight management system. They ultimately did not complete this task prior to takeoff with the pilot remarking, “we’ll get to it later.” The pilot subsequently departed and climbed into instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) without an instrument flight rules (IFR) flight plan. After entering IMC, he contacted air traffic control and asked for visual flight rules (VFR) flight following services and an IFR clearance to the destination airport. From shortly after when the airplane leveled after takeoff through the final seconds of the flight, the pilot attempted to program, delete, reprogram, and activate a flight plan into the airplane’s flight management system as evidenced by his comments recorded on the airplane’s cockpit voice recorder (CVR). After departing, the pilot also attempted to navigate around restricted airspace that the airplane had flown into. The CVR audio showed that during the final 10 minutes of the flight, the pilot was unsure of the spelling of the fix he should have been navigating to in order to begin the instrument approach at the destination airport, and more generally expressed frustration and confusion while attempting to program the integrated flight management system. As the pilot continued to fixate on programming the airplane’s flight management system and change the altimeter setting, the airplane’s pitch attitude increased to 10° nose up, while the airspeed had decayed to 109 knots. As a result of his inattention to this airspeed decay, the stall warning system activated and the autopilot disconnected. During this time the airplane began climbing and turning to the right and then to the left before entering a steep descending right turn that continued until the airplane impacted the ocean. For the final 2 and 1/2 minutes of the flight, the pilot was provided with stall warnings, stick shaker activations, autopilot disconnect warnings, and terrain avoidance warning system alerts. The airplane impacted the ocean about 3 miles from the coast. Examination of the recovered sections of the airplane did not reveal evidence of any mechanical failures or malfunctions of the airframe or engine that would have precluded normal operation. The instrument meteorological conditions present in the area at the time of the accident were conducive to the development of spatial disorientation. The airplane’s erratic flight track in the final 2 minutes of flight, culminating in the final rapidly descending right turn, were consistent with the known effects of spatial disorientation. It is likely that the pilot’s inadequate preflight planning, and his subsequent distraction while he unsuccessfully attempted to program the airplane’s flight management system during the flight resulted in his failure to adequately monitor the airplane’s speed. This led to the activation of the airplane’s stall protection and warning systems as the airplane approached and entered an aerodynamic stall. The resulting sudden deactivation of the autopilot, combined with his inattention to the airplane’s flight attitude and speed, likely surprised the pilot. Ultimately, the pilot failed to regain control of the airplane following the aerodynamic stall, likely due to spatial disorientation. The pilot had a history of mantle cell lymphoma that was in remission and his maintenance treatment with a rituximab infusion was over 60 days prior to the accident. The pilot also had a history of back pain and had received steroid injections and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. By self-report, he had taken oxycodone for pain management; it is unknown how frequently he used this medication or if he had used the medication on the day of the accident. While oxycodone can result in fatigue and dizziness, and may interfere with reaction time, given the information from the CVR, it could not be determined if the pilot had these side effects. A few weeks prior to the accident, the pilot reported having COVID-19 and receiving a 5-day treatment course of hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin. While there are some impairing side effects associated with the use of those medications, enough time had elapsed that no adverse effects would be expected. There is an increased risk of a sudden incapacitating cardiovascular event such as a dysrhythmia, stroke, or pulmonary embolism in people who have recovered from their COVID-19 infection. The risk is slight for those not hospitalized for the infection. The pilot did not have an underlying cardiovascular disease that would pose an increased risk for a sudden incapacitating event and the CVR did not provide evidence of a sudden incapacitating event occurring. Thus, it could not be determined if the pilot’s medical conditions of mantle cell lymphoma, back pain, and recent history of COVID-19 and the medications used to treat these conditions, including rituximab, oxycodone, hydroxychloroquine, and ivermectin, were contributing factors to this accident.
Source record
Factual narrative
The weather reported at the departure airport (7W6) around the time of departure indicated that there was a wind from 360° at 10 knots, gusting to 15 knots, visibility 10 miles, ceiling overcast at 2,100 ft above ground level (agl), a temperature of 6° C, a dewpoint temperature of 3° C, and an altimeter setting of 29.93 inches of mercury. The weather reported at the destination airport, MRH, at 1258 included wind from 020° at 10 knots with gusts to 20 knots, visibility 7 statute miles, light rain, ceiling overcast at 1,000 feet agl, a temperature of 8° C and a dew point temperature of 6°C, with an altimeter setting of 29.96 inches of mercury. At 1358, the automated weather reported at MRH included a wind from 020° at 13 knots with gusts to 18 knots, visibility 10 statute miles or greater, light rain, ceiling overcast at 900 feet agl, a temperature of 7° C and a dew point temperature of 6°C, and an altimeter setting of 29.93 inches of mercury. The weather report remarks included that the ceiling was variable between 600 and 1,200 feet agl, that there had been 0.02 inches of liquid-equivalent precipitation since 1258, and that there was a trace amount of ice accretion since 1258. Infrared cloud-top temperatures over the accident site were about -29°C, which corresponded to cloud top heights of about 25,000 ft. A text AIRMET SIERRA for IFR conditions, identifying ceilings below 1,000 feet, visibility below 3 statute miles in precipitation and mist, was issued at 1319 and was valid for the accident site at the accident time. A review of preflight weather briefing information revealed that the pilot did not obtain preflight information from Leidos Flight Services. An account with ForeFlight associated with the airplane viewed airport information on February 12-13, 2022. The airports viewed on February 12, 2022, were: o Morgantown Municipal Airport (MGW), Morgantown, West Virginia o Wilmington International Airport (ILM), Wilmington, North Carolina The airports viewed on February 13, 2022, were: o Hyde County Airport (7W6), Engelhard, North Carolina. Viewed at 0901. o Michael J Smith Field Airport (MRH), Beaufort, North Carolina. View at 0902. o Duluth International Airport (DLH), Duluth, Minnesota. Viewed at 0934. o Manchester Boston Regional Airport (MHT), Manchester, New Hampshire. Viewed at 0934. The Airports page in ForeFlight included airport information, METARs, TAF/MOS and other forecasts. However, ForeFlight did not have any logs about what information was viewed on the airports page. No other information about the pilot’s preflight weather briefing was located. The commercial pilot held a held a second-class medical certificate with a special issuance for mantle cell lymphoma (in remission). At his most recent FAA medical certification examination on June 28, 2021, he reported taking acyclovir daily and infusions of rituximab every 8 weeks for the lymphoma and reported no side effects from these medications. No autopsy report or toxicology testing results were available. Review of the pilot’s medical records showed that the pilot was diagnosed with mantle cell lymphoma in November 2019 and received a stem cell transplant in April 2020. His most recent visit to the oncologist for follow-up and rituximab infusion was on December 10, 2021, and he was reported to overall be doing well. The pilot had an acute injury to his back in August 2021 and over the next three months received three steroid injections for a bulging disc. In August 2021, he reported to his oncologist that he had taken oxycodone for the pain. In addition to the steroid injections, his primary care doctor had prescribed non-steroidal anti-inflammatory medications for his ongoing back pain. The pilot tested positive for COVID-19 in January 2022 and reported receiving a monoclonal antibody infusion and a five-day course of hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin in early February 2022. The passenger held a held a third-class medical certificate without limitations. At his most recent and only exam July 6, 2021, he reported taking no medications and no medical conditions. No autopsy report or toxicology testing results were available. The airplane was equipped with an automatic flight control system. According to the airplane flight manual, “Autopilot disengagement is defined as either normal or abnormal. A normal disengagement is initiated manually by pressing the AP DISC push-button on the control wheel or by the AP push button on the [flight controller] or by activating the manual trim system. A normal disconnect will cause the AP indication on the PFD to flash red/white and the aural “Cavalry Charge” warning tone to be activated. After 2.5 seconds the AP indicator and audio are removed. Any disengagement due to a monitor trip or failure is considered abnormal. An abnormal disconnect will cause the AP indication on the PFD to flash red/white and the aural warning tone to be activated until acknowledged via the AP DISC push-button.” In addition, it stated “Activation of the stick shaker disengages the autopilot if engaged, in order to give full authority to a possible stick pusher activation. The autopilot can be manually reconnected after the angle of attack is reduced and the stick shaker has ceased operation.” Also, the airplane flight manual indicated that the wings level stall speed at the maximum takeoff weight with flight idle power was 95 knots with 0° of flaps in non-icing conditions. According to Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) airman records, the pilot held a commercial pilot certificate with ratings for airplane multiengine land, airplane single-engine land, and instrument airplane. In addition, he held a ground instructor certificate and held a mechanic certificate with airframe and powerplant ratings. His most recent second-class medical certificate was issued June 28, 2021. At that time, he reported 3,000 total hours of flight experience. According to FAA airman records, the passenger (who was seated in the right cockpit seat) held a student pilot certificate. His most recent third-class medical certificate was issued on July 6, 2021, and at that time he reported 20 hours of flight experience. On February 13, 2022, about 1402 eastern standard time, a Pilatus PC-12, N79NX, was destroyed when it was involved in an accident near Beaufort, North Carolina. The commercial pilot, and 7 passengers were fatally injured. The airplane was operated as a Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight. Earlier on the day of the accident, the airplane departed Pitt-Greenville Airport (PGV), Greenville, North Carolina, about 1235, and landed at Hyde County Airport (7W6), Engelhard, North Carolina, at 1255. According to data recovered from the airplane’s combination flight data and cockpit voice recorder, before departing on the accident flight, when the passengers were boarding the airplane, the pilot was instructing the student pilot-rated passenger, who was seated in the right front seat of the airplane, on how to enter the flight plan information into the avionics. At one point, the passenger was told to enter W95 (Ocracoke Island Airport, Ocracoke, North Carolina) into the flight plan; however, he seemed unsure if he entered the information correctly. The pilot responded and stated that “we’ll get it later.” The passenger proceeded to insert Michael J. Smith Field Airport (MRH), Beaufort, North Carolina, into the flight plan, and then activate it. The data recorder data showed that the engine was started at 1329, and after taxi, the engine power was advanced for takeoff at 1334. The autopilot was engaged shortly after takeoff and the airplane climbed and leveled at the selected target altitude of 3,500 ft. The airspeed then stabilized around 220 knots from about 1337 to about 1343. Figure 1 depicts the airplane’s flight track for the entirety of the accident flight overlayed onto a visual flight