Primary finding
Probable cause
The flight instructor’s improper decision to continue flight into a known area of thunderstorms, which resulted in an in-flight breakup.
Investigator assessment
Analysis narrative
According to the operator, the flight instructor and student pilot were on a night cross-country flight. The purpose of the flight was to satisfy the student pilot’s night flight training requirements before completing a private pilot practical examination, and it was their first time flying together. The outbound leg of the trip was uneventful, and the accident occurred during the return leg of the trip. The flight instructor had obtained a weather briefing for the accident flight from an online commercial source. The briefing included a convective SIGMET that was active for the accident location and time. It warned of an area of severe thunderstorms with cloud tops to 42,000 ft, hail of up to 1.25 inches in diameter, and wind gusts of up to 50 knots (kts). Additional weather information was compared to a screen capture that the flight instructor posted to social media about 34 minutes before the accident (while the flight was enroute). Based on the airplane’s position at the time of the screen capture, the weather radar information depicted was about 10 minutes old. Given this information, it is likely that the flight instructor was aware that convective weather was in the vicinity of the planned route of flight but was not aware of the latency of the weather radar information and continued on-course in an attempt to fly past the approaching convective weather. According to ADS-B data and air traffic control (ATC) voice communications, the flight instructor contacted ATC about 30 minutes after posting the screen capture to social media, or 5 minutes prior before the accident. At that time the controller advised of heavy- to- extreme precipitation at the airplane’s nine o’clock position. ADS-B data showed that the airplane continued its northwesterly course and about 2 minutes later, the flight instructor requested an instrument flight rules clearance. The controller issued the clearance and provided an easterly radar vector to assist the flight in getting out of the weather. The flight instructor stated to the controller that the airplane was “getting blown around like crazy,” and the airplane’s flight track showed a turn to the northwest followed by a right circling turn. The controller reiterated the heading of 090º, and the flight instructor responded that they were in “pretty extreme turbulence.” The flight track showed a continuing right descending turn, and no further communications were received from the flight instructor. The airplane’s last ADS-B position was at an altitude of 2,200 ft and about 1,000 ft northwest of the wreckage debris field, which spanned 25 acres in a hilly, densely wooded area. Postaccident examination of the wreckage did not reveal any evidence of any preimpact mechanical malfunctions or failures of the airframe or the engine. Overall, the distribution of the wreckage was consistent with an in-flight breakup. Based on the evidence, after the airplane encountered forecast severe convective weather conditions, the airplane’s structural limitations were exceeded, which resulted in an inflight breakup.
Source record
Factual narrative
The flight instructor received his initial flight instructor certificate about 5 months before the accident, on April 10, 2023. According to his pilot logbook and FAA records, at the time of the accident he had accrued about 447 hours of total flight experience. Of the total hours, 20 hours were at night and 6.6 hours were in actual instrument meteorological conditions. According to the operator, the student pilot had accrued about 37 hours of total flight experience. An autopsy was conducted on the pilots by the Western Kentucky Office of The Medical Examiner, Madisonville, Kentucky. The cause of death for both was “multiple blunt force trauma.” Toxicological testing of the pilots’ specimens was conducted by the FAA Office of Forensic Sciences, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. The results were negative for the flight instructor. For the student pilot, the results were positive for ethanol, propanol, and Cetirizine. Although ethanol was detected, putrefaction was noted as yes, consistent with postmortem production of ethanol. Cetirizine is an over-the-counter antihistamine commonly used to treat allergy symptoms. Cetirizine can have sedating effects; however, the investigation could not determine if the student pilot was impaired by Cetirizine. On September 27, 2023, about 2249 central daylight time, a Piper PA-28-161, N3079M, was destroyed when it was involved in an accident near Whitesville, Kentucky. The flight instructor and student pilot were fatally injured. The airplane was operated by Eagle Flight Academy as a Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 instructional flight. According to the operator and the student pilot’s regular flight instructor, the accident flight instructor and student pilot were on the return portion of a night cross-country flight. The purpose of the flight was to satisfy the student pilot’s night flight training requirements before completing a private pilot practical examination. The accident flight was also the student pilot and accident flight instructor’s first time flying together. ADS-B data indicated that the airplane departed Bowling Green-Woodhurst Airport (BWG), Bowling Green, Kentucky, around 2155. The airplane climbed to 4,500 ft msl and proceeded on a northwesterly course toward Owensboro/Daviess County Regional Airport (OWB), Owensboro, Kentucky, on a visual flight rules flight plan. A post to the flight instructor’s social media account at 2215 (about 34 minutes before the accident) depicted an annotated image from a mobile-device-based aviation navigation tool. The image depicted the airplane’s current position northwest of Bowling Green, Kentucky, along with the planned route of flight to OWB. Weather radar imagery was also displayed in the image, which had been annotated with a circle around the flight track and nearby weather radar returns. Figure 1 shows a screen capture of the flight instructor’s social media post. Figure 1 - Screen capture of a post to the flight instructor’s social media account. Note the airplane’s current position (blue airplane icon), the planned route of flight (magenta line), the depicted weather radar imagery, and entire area circled in red. According to ATC voice communication information provided by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the pilot contacted ATC at 2244 and the controller advised the flight of heavy to extreme precipitation at the airplane’s nine o’clock position. ADS-B data showed that the airplane continued its northwesterly course; about 2 minutes later, the flight instructor requested an instrument flight rules clearance. The controller issued the clearance and provided an easterly radar vector to assist the flight in getting out of the weather. The flight instructor stated to the controller that the airplane was “getting blown around like crazy,” and the airplane’s flight track showed a turn to the northwest followed by a right circling turn. The controller reiterated the heading of 090º, and the flight instructor responded that they were in “pretty extreme turbulence.” The flight track showed a continuing right descending turn, and no further communications were received from the flight instructor. The airplane's last ADS-B position, at 2249, was at an altitude of 2,200 ft and about 1,000 ft northwest of the wreckage debris field, which spanned 25 acres in a hilly, densely wooded area. All major components of the airplane, except for the left portion of the stabilator, were located in the debris field. The fuselage was separated aft of the rear seat, and the forward fuselage, including the cockpit, engine, and right wing, were located together in the most westerly portion of the debris field. The left wing, with aileron attached, was separated from the fuselage, and was located about 800 ft east of the forward fuselage. The flap was separated from the wing and located in the debris field. The right wing remained attached to the forward fuselage and was upside down with aileron and flap attached. The empennage with vertical stabilizer intact was located over a ridge about 200 ft north of the forward fuselage. The rudder was torn diagonally from top to bottom, with the lower portion remaining attached to the vertical stabilizer and the upper portion separated and located near the empennage in the debris field. The stabilator was torn chordwise just outboard of the hinges. The right side of the stabilator was located about 1,500 ft away from the forward fuselage in the most eastern edge of the debris field. The wreckage was recovered to a salvage facility for further examination. The left wing’s interior ribs exhibited signatures consistent with the aileron bellcrank having been pulled from its mount and drawn through the wing to the inboard end. The aileron bellcrank was broken with the balance cable arm remaining attached to the balance cable. The balance cable was continuous to the right wing. The remainder of the bellcrank was not located. The right-wing aileron cables remained attached to the bellcrank and the bellcrank remained attached to the wing. Examination of the engine revealed that the fixed-pitch propeller remained attached to the crankshaft propeller flange, and both propeller blades appeared straight. The engine displayed impact damage. The starter ring gear was impact fractured into several pieces, and the alternator was attached to the front of the engine by one bolt. The carburetor was impact separated at the bowl. Suction and compression were observed on all cylinders when the propeller was rotated by hand. Valvetrain continuity was confirmed throughout the engine and all rocker arms moved when the crankshaft was rotated. No anomalies were noted during examination of the engine cylinders with a lighted borescope. Both magnetos were tightly installed and once removed and rotated using an electric drill spark was produced at each ignition lead point. Liquid consistent in odor and color with 100LL aviation fuel drained from the boost pump when the filter cover was removed. Examination of the engine did not reveal any preaccident anomalies or malfunctions that would have precluded normal operation. Review of data from ForeFlight revealed that the flight instructor obtained a weather briefing for the accident flight. The briefing included a convective SIGMET that was active for the accident location and time. It warned of an area of severe thunderstorms with cloud tops to 42,000 ft, hail up to 1.25 inches in diameter, and wind gusts of up to 50 kts. The convective SIGMET area was moving from 280° at 15 knots. Convective SIGMETs implied severe or greater turbulence, severe icing, and low-level wind shear. For more information, see the Meteorology Specialist’s Factual Report in the public docket for this investigation. Additional information from ForeFlight was compared to the flight instructor’s screen capture (figure 1). The information revealed that the weather radar