Primary finding
Probable cause
The pilot's improper decision to continue flight into an area of reduced visibility and snow showers during cruise flight, which resulted in the pilot's spatial disorientation and subsequent loss of aircraft control.
Investigator assessment
Analysis narrative
The private pilot departed for a short local flight while visual meteorological conditions existed in the immediate vicinity of the departure airport. He proceeded to climb to the northeast, through a mountain pass, and then to the south, paralleling the shore of a frozen, snow-covered reservoir. The flight continued for about 20 miles. Analysis of radar and recorded GPS data showed that the airplane then experienced large fluctuations in ground speed while still on the same approximate track. Shortly thereafter, the airplane began a 180-degree left turn and collided with the reservoir surface. GPS data, airplane instrumentation, and ground scars indicated that the airplane was in a descending left turn when it struck the ground. All major sections of airplane were accounted for at the accident site, and post accident examination of the engine and airframe revealed no obvious anomalies that would have precluded normal operation. Mountain obscuration and occasional precipitation were forecast for the area of the accident flight. Additionally, weather observation stations and local pilot reports indicated that moderate snow showers were in the vicinity of the site at the time of the accident. The white surface of the frozen lake, in conjunction with the snow and limited visibility, would have provided the pilot limited external visual references, and as such could have resulted in him becoming spatially disoriented or affected by a visual illusion. The pilot's logbooks revealed that he had a history of flying in marginal weather conditions, and had performed multiple Special VFR takeoffs and landings. The pilot did not possess an instrument rating.
Source record
Factual narrative
HISTORY OF FLIGHT On April 1, 2009, about 1630 mountain daylight time, a Maule M-4-220C, N2007U, impacted the frozen surface of a reservoir near Hungry Horse, Montana. The pilot was operating the airplane under the provisions of Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91. The certificated private pilot was killed; the airplane was destroyed by impact forces. The personal local flight departed Glacier Park International Airport (KGPI), Kalispell, Montana, at 1602. Visual meteorological conditions prevailed at the departure airport, and no flight plan had been filed. Radar data provided by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) revealed that a target departed Kalispell at 1602:48 using a discreet transponder code of 1200. The target climbed on a northeast course to 4,500 feet mean sea level (msl) as reported by the mode C transponder. Three miles northeast of the departure airport the target made a 360-degree left turn before continuing on the original track. Over the course of the next 2 minutes the target continued climbing until 1608:36; this was the last radar return and was received at an altitude of 5,100 feet, about 2 miles west of the town of Hungry Horse. A handheld global positioning systems (GPS) Garmin GPS III was recovered from the airplane. The unit was sent to the National Transportation Safety Board Office of Research and Engineering for data extraction. The data revealed a flight track that closely matched the radar data and did not contain altitude information. The airplane flew about 1 mile beyond the last radar return, and then changed course to the southeast. For the next 11 minutes the airplane followed the western shore of the reservoir, covering a distance of about 20 miles. Ground speeds for this portion of the flight fluctuated between 121 and 155 mph. Shortly thereafter, the airplane changed course to the south, and its ground speed increased to 161 mph. Six seconds later the ground speed slowed to 96 mph, and then back up to 132 mph, 8 seconds later. The airplane changed course back to the southeast and continued at a ground speed between 123 and 140 mph for the remaining 2 1/2 minutes. The airplane then began a left turn to the north. The final GPS recorded location occurred 14 seconds later, with the airplane traveling at a velocity of about 146 mph, on a heading of 10 degrees true. The Air Force Rescue Coordination Center (AFRCC) received an indication of the activation of a 406 MHz Emergency Locator Transmitter (ELT) at 1629 in the vicinity of the Hungry Horse Reservoir. The airplane then became subject of an Alert Notice (ALNOT) after the pilot could not be reached by the AFRCC, and family members confirmed that he had not returned home. A joint search was initiated by the Flathead County Sheriff's department and the Montana State Fish, Wildlife and Parks Division, and at 0020 the following morning the wreckage was located. The wreckage was situated on the frozen surface of the 35-mile-long Hungry Horse Reservoir, 26 miles southeast of the town of Hungry Horse. The sheriff's department rescue coordinator reported that snow and cloud obscuration prevented the search from being initiated from the air. Additionally, the airplane was covered with fresh snow when first responders arrived on scene. Earlier in the day, the pilot reported to family members that the flight was to be a short sightseeing flight, and that he would return later in the evening. PERSONNEL INFORMATION A review of FAA airman records revealed that the 50-year-old pilot held a private pilot certificate for airplane single-engine land, issued June 19, 2004. He did not possess an instrument rating. He held a third-class airman medical certificate issued in February 2008, with the limitation that he must have glasses available for near vision. Review of the pilot's logbooks revealed that as of March 20, 2009, he had accumulated about 609 hours of total flight experience, about 496 of which were in the accident airplane. He reported 7.1 hours of simulated instrument time. The pilot's logbook contained multiple references to flights in snow and marginal VFR conditions, in addition to Special VFR takeoffs and landings. Excerpts from the logbook entries include: November 13, 2005 - "Fresh Annual. Snowing. Special VFR at GPI" November 19, 2005 - "Deer Scouting Bad Fog. Special VFR to return (GPI)" January 28, 2006 - "Snowing from Sealey back. Sp. VFR" January 1, 2007 - "Cabin Creek, low ceilings" January 17, 2007 - "Spotted bear (snowing)" February 28, 2007 - "Snow squalls, actually turned back!" May 25, 2007 - "Special VFR T.O." July 18, 2007 - "T-Storm" May 9, 2008 - "Special VFR into Glasgow snowing!" August 26, 2008 - "MVFR into Schaffer" December 12, 2008 - "Beat blizzard home!" January 20, 2009 - "No angel flight. Landed Special VFR" AIRCRAFT INFORMATION The four-seat, high-wing, fixed-gear airplane, was manufactured in 1967. It was powered by a six cylinder, normally aspirated Franklin, PZLF-6A-350C1R engine, and equipped with a two blade McCauley constant-speed propeller. The maintenance logbooks were not recovered for inspection, however, an invoice retained from Poorman Aviation of Bigfork Montana, revealed that the airplane last received an annual inspection on December 18, 2008, at a total airframe time of 2,161.6 flight hours. The engine tachometer at the accident site indicated 2174.98. The airplane was equipped with attitude, direction, and navigation instruments required for flight in instrument meteorological conditions. METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION The closest aviation weather observation station was located at Kalispell, 28 miles northwest of the accident site. The elevation of the weather observation station was 2,977 feet msl. An aviation routine weather report (METAR) for Kalispell was issued at 1555. It stated: Winds from 260 degrees at 12 knots; visibility 10 miles; skies clear; temperature 07 degrees Celsius; dew point -06 degrees Celsius; altimeter 29.79 inches of mercury. At 1655, a METAR was issued at Kalispell. It stated: Winds from 250 degrees at 12 knots, gusting to 20 knots; visibility 10 miles; skies scattered 4,000 feet; broken 6,500 feet; temperature 06 degrees Celsius; dew point -07 degrees Celsius; altimeter 29.79 inches of mercury. The Montana Department of Transportation issued a series of surface observations for Essex, Montana, US-2 Mile Post 179.9. The observation station was located about 11 miles north of the accident site, at an elevation of 3,848 feet. It stated the following: 1616 MDT: Temperature 31.5 degrees F; dew point 24.2 degrees F; winds south-southeast at 5 miles per hour gusts to 6 miles per hour; moderate snow. 1626 MDT: Temperature 30.9 degrees F; dew point 24.6 degrees F; winds south-southwest at 1 mile per hour gusts to 2 miles per hour; moderate snow. 1635 MDT: Temperature 30.7 degrees F; dew point 24.7 degrees F; winds east at 2 miles per hour gusts to 2 miles per hour; moderate snow. 1637 MDT: Temperature 30.6 degrees F; dew point 24.6 degrees F; winds east-southeast at 2 miles per hour gusts to 2 miles per hour; moderate snow. An Airmen's Meteorological Information (AIRMET) Sierra Update 4 for mountain obscuration and occasional precipitation was issued on the day of the accident at 1445 MDT, and valid until 2100 MDT. The accident site was located within the area covered by this advisory. A pilot flying in the Kalispell area about the time of the accident reported that he was descending from 13,500 feet, and in the clouds, when he heard an ELT signal over his radio. He continued the descent, breaking out of the clouds at 6,000 feet. He stated that below this altitude the weather consisted of scattered clouds and intermittent snow showers. Additionally, he reported that the peaks of the Flathead Mountains, east of Kalispell, were obscured by clouds. The FAA reported that Lockheed Martin Flight S