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NTSB investigation record

WPR11FA170

Completed

Cessna T310R· N4914A

Date
March 19, 2011
Location
Butte, MT
Conditions
IMC
Record
Published September 25, 2020

Primary finding

Probable cause

The pilot's loss of airplane control during the missed approach for undetermined reasons. Contributing to the accident was the rapid and unforecast deterioration of the weather conditions to below the landing minimum and the pilot's decision to attempt the approach despite his knowledge of those conditions.

Investigator assessment

Analysis narrative

Shortly before embarking on the flight, the instrument-rated pilot filed an instrument flight plan and checked the weather using a computer-based filing system. At that time, the destination airport was reporting visual meteorological conditions, with similar conditions forecast for the planned arrival time. The pilot did not list an alternate airport in the flight plan. About halfway through the flight, the pilot contacted the air traffic controller responsible for the destination airport’s airspace. By that time, the weather conditions at the destination had deteriorated, with reports of snow and fog and visibility below the instrument approach minimums. The controller provided updated weather information and asked the pilot if he wanted to continue with the initial approach. He responded that he did and that he would divert to an alternate airport if necessary. The pilot was then cleared for the approach, and the airplane began to descend toward the initial approach fix (IAF). Shortly thereafter, a scheduled air carrier airplane destined for the same airport contacted the same controller. The controller relayed the weather information, and the crew of that airplane responded that they would delay the approach to see if the weather conditions improved. About that time, the accident airplane reached the IAF and began the approach. The air carrier pilot then requested and received approval to divert to an alternate airport due to the weather conditions. The accident pilot most likely did not hear this exchange because he had switched to the airport frequency. Due to limitations in radar coverage, the air traffic controller was not able to see the airplane once it had descended to the approach altitude. About 4 minutes after the air carrier airplane began to divert, the accident pilot reported that he was performing a missed approach. The controller provided missed approach instructions and asked for the pilot's intentions. The pilot read back the instructions but did not state his intentions. The controller asked if he would like to divert to the alternate airport, and, after a series of delayed and partial responses from the pilot, a call of "Mayday Mayday" was heard on the controller's frequency. For the next 35 minutes, the controller unsuccessfully attempted to contact the pilot. During that period, an air medical flight also canceled a landing approach into the airport due to deteriorating weather conditions. Multiple witnesses reported the sounds of a loud, low-flying airplane northwest of the airport about the time of the landing attempt. The witnesses reported the sudden onset of a gusting wind, heavy snow, low visibility, and ice accumulations during that period. The airplane wreckage was located a few miles from the witnesses, about midway between the airport and the missed approach hold location. The wreckage distribution and flight instrument readings were indicative of a high-speed, steep nose-down, left-turning descent into the ground, with a heading almost opposite the direction of the missed approach route. Engine instrument indications, and both the engine and propeller damage signatures, were consistent with the engines producing similar amounts of power at the time of impact. The airplane was equipped with instruments and systems required for flight in instrument meteorological conditions (IMC) and flight into known icing. Additional equipment included an autopilot and a global positioning system (GPS) navigation and communication transceiver capable of receiving and displaying current weather information via satellite. Impact damage prevented a determination of the operational status of those systems. Available ground-based radar tracking data indicated smooth heading and altitude changes and minimal altitude deviations prior to the pilot being cleared for the approach, consistent with autopilot use. According to the prior owner of the airplane, the autopilot was susceptible to becoming disengaged during turbulent conditions, and, as such, it is possible that at some point during the approach the pilot was forced to revert to flying the airplane manually. Under such circumstances, the pilot's workload would have rapidly increased. Additionally, the likely accumulation of ice on the airplane's airframe would have reduced flight performance and added to his workload as he attempted to monitor the ice accumulation and operate the deice system. The pilot had recently purchased the airplane and likely had minimal solo experience flying it in IMC. The airplane was about 2 months overdue for its annual inspection, and 12 months overdue for its transponder, static, and altitude reporting systems check. However, postaccident examination of the airframe remnants did not reveal any failures or malfunctions which would have precluded normal operation. The engines exhibited indications of wear that would have resulted in a gradual reduction in engine power over its life, rather than a sudden loss of power. Although the severe weather conditions were not forecast, the pilot was accurately advised of the deteriorating conditions by the controller prior to the approach, and he would have had access to airport terminal reports via the airplane's radio and his GPS navigation system. The lack of a filed alternate airport indicates that the pilot was not prepared for the severity of the weather conditions. The airplane was carrying ample reserves of fuel, with enough to return to the departure airport if necessary.

Source record

Factual narrative

HISTORY OF FLIGHT On March 19, 2011, about 1605 mountain daylight time, a Cessna T310R, N4914A, collided with terrain during a missed approach at Bert Mooney Airport (BTM), Butte, Montana. The pilot was operating the airplane under the provisions of Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91. The commercial pilot sustained fatal injuries. The airplane sustained substantial damage, and was consumed by a post crash fire. The cross-country personal flight departed Great Falls International Airport (GTF), Great Falls, Montana, about 1520, with a planned destination of Butte. Instrument meteorological conditions prevailed, and an instrument flight rules (IFR) flight plan had been filed. A witness, who was located in his residence at an elevation of about 5,600 feet mean sea level (msl), 3.5 miles northwest of the arrival end of runway 15, reported that snow began to fall in the area about 1540. About 1600 he was located at the east-facing window in his living room, because his attention was drawn to the snow, the intensity of which had increased. He stated that the area is susceptible to snow at this time of year, however, this snow fall was unusually heavy, and obscured his view across the street. The snow was blowing horizontally from west to east, and he continued to watch as it created unusual "eddy effects" as it swirled around his house. He then became aware of a very loud airplane engine sound, so loud that his reaction was to duck. He stated that he lives close to the normal flight path of the airport, and was very familiar with the sound of airplanes; however, this was much louder, and although he could not see the airplane, it appeared to be much closer than usual. He stated that he did not hear the sound of an explosion or impact. Another witness located in his office on the campus of Montana Tech, about 4 miles northwest of the arrival end of runway 15, reported similar weather conditions and aircraft sounds about the same time. By the time he left his office, about 2 hours later, he observed vehicles in the parking lot encrusted with a layer of 1.5- to 2-inch-thick snow and ice. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) provided radar and voice communication data for the flight, which revealed that the pilot was receiving radar vectors from the Salt Lake Air Route Traffic Control Center (ARTCC). About the time of the accident, the ARTCC controller for the sector, which included BTM, was providing radar vectors for multiple aircraft, including the accident airplane, and a Canadair Regional Jet (CRJ-200) operated SkyWest Airlines as Flight 4658. The SkyWest airplane was also destined for BTM. The radar data revealed a target displaying a 4636 beacon code corresponding to N4914A, 90 miles northeast of BTM at 1530:00. Over the course of the next 19 minutes, the target maintained a track of 205 degrees true, at a Mode C reported altitude of 13,300 feet. At 1549:04, the pilot made a radio transmission to air traffic control reporting his altitude as 13,000 feet. The air traffic controller responded, and asked if the pilot he had checked the weather for BTM. The pilot responded that he was about to, and 27 seconds later, the air traffic control provided weather information for BTM that was recorded at 1538. The controller reported winds of 290 degrees at 9 knots, gusting to 16, with 1/3 mile visibility, snow, fog, few clouds at 800 feet, a broken ceiling of 1,400 feet, and an overcast ceiling at 2,200 feet. The pilot then responded, "We've picked that up, uh that just changed on us in here, in the last little bit." The air traffic controller replied that the weather had recently changed, and that although the visual approach was available earlier, the conditions were now deteriorating. The controller then stated, "Get back to me if you want to continue inbound or go somewhere else." The pilot replied, "...let's plan on going ahead and we'll..., looks kind of scattered and broken where I'm at." The controller asked the pilot to confirm that he wanted to start the initial approach, and the pilot responded, "... let's try that, and then if we have to, we'll go back to Helena." At 1551:01, the controller responded that he observed N4914A established on Victor Airway 113, flying towards EVVER intersection. He then cleared the pilot for the "ILS Y RWY 15" approach, directing him to fly direct to MAGIC intersection, crossing it at or above 12,000 feet. The pilot read back the instructions, and radar data indicated that the airplane then initiated a descent towards MAGIC intersection. The controller then made contact with SkyWest Flight 4658, informing the crew that they were the number two aircraft for the approach. The SkyWest pilot then responded, "We are just talking about what we are going to do here, if we could just stay at three zero zero for a minute that would be better for us." The controller then cleared the SkyWest airplane to maintain flight level three zero zero, and stated, "As you may have heard, the conditions have changed somewhat, now let me know what you would like to do and I will get you a new airport if you need it." About 4 1/2 minutes later the SkyWest pilot reported, "We'd like to start down and get lower just in case the visibility comes up there and we can shoot the approach, but we can't stay for too long, we are going to have to head over to Bozeman in about 5 minutes or so." The controller subsequently cleared the airplane to hold over the Coppertown (CPN) Very High Frequency Omni-directional Range (VOR) at 16,000 feet. At 1558:24, N4914A reached MAGIC intersection at an altitude of 11,150 feet. The controller reported that radar services were terminated, and cleared the accident pilot to switch to the advisory frequency, with instructions that he could call back if he elected to perform a missed approach. The pilot read back the instructions. The target then crossed over MAGIC intersection, and began a right turn to the northwest. The turn was consistent with an entry into the published holding pattern, for the ILS 15 Y Approach. The last radar return from the airplane was recorded 36 seconds later, at 1559:00. That return indicated that the airplane was at 11,200 feet, and on a track of about 330 degrees. Shortly thereafter, the SkyWest pilot called requesting to discontinue the hold, and divert to Bozeman. The controller subsequently cleared the airplane to fly directly to Bozeman. At 1604:24, the pilot of N4914A reported that he was performing the missed approach. The controller then responded with the BTM altimeter setting, instructions to climb to and maintain 15,000 feet, and a request for the pilot's intentions. The pilot then responded that he would begin the climb. The controller asked if he would like to divert to Helena, and after a 10-second pause, the pilot confirmed that he would like to do so. The controller then instructed the pilot to report leaving 12,000 feet, stating that he would be able to pick him back up on radar at that altitude. However, for the next 15 seconds the pilot did not respond. Shortly thereafter, a call of "Mayday Mayday" was heard on the controller's radio frequency. For the next 35 minutes, the controller unsuccessfully attempted to make contact with the pilot of N4914A both on the aircraft emergency frequency, and by utilizing airborne aircraft in the Butte area to relay messages. During that period a Pilatus PC-12 airplane performing an air medical mission also cancelled an approach into BTM, after the controller updated that airplane with the 1653 automated weather report, which indicated winds of 330 at 8 knots, 1/4 mile visibility with snow, freezing fog, broken ceilings at 400 and 900 feet, and overcast at 1,400 feet. PERSONNEL INFORMATION A review of FAA airman records revealed that the pilot held a commercial pilot certificate with ratings for airplane single-engine land, multiengine land, and instrument airplane. He held a third-cla

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